Real estate still bad, broader market also fell Space

May open the door green. The central bank increased the reserve during the festival, May Day Stock Index opened sharply lower, but still not up to the lowest point on Oct. 9 last year, the upward gap, a gap of 6 points, bargain-hunting money has to be involved in the wave behind, index gradually higher. However, continued low real estate stocks drag index further down in the afternoon panic spread to other sectors, and stocks fell plate increase, the last two cities to take a long report on the impact of small Yangxian income. Volume declined significantly, indicating the current cautious market sentiment.

Disk perspective, medicine plate once again become a safe haven when the broader market fell, medical equipment, pharmaceutical manufacturing, medicine and medical circulation rose to become the first four plate today, non-ferrous ore mining (gold stocks), agriculture, and there is a certain increase GEM; real estate and securities and futures decline among the top plate, these two blocks of today's overall decline in more than 5%.

Movement of funds from the main view, today's main capital cities of the net outflow of 6.67 billion yuan. Including a net outflow of 3.24 billion yuan in Shanghai Stock Market, the net outflow of 3.43 billion yuan in Shenzhen. Main net inflow of funds is the largest non-ferrous ore mining industry segment, agriculture, forestry and telecommunications services segment; a net outflow of the largest industry segment is the real estate, banking and securities and futures plate. Real Estate section once again become the first main net outflow of funds.

Reserve ratio increases during the year 3 times, is expected to freeze the funds of more than 3 100 000 000 000. Today, real estate shares fell as investors worried that the reserve may limit the rate of increase flow of bank loans to real estate. To limit housing prices, management has recently implemented a series of regulatory measures and policy measures. Recent measures, the Beijing municipal government said it will stop any property already has two families mortgages. Taking into account price and other key commodity prices may continue to rise, the central bank measures the weekend is only a beginning. Management is also possible to take the austerity measures, soon raise interest rates put even more stringent measures.

A quarterly real estate companies has three characteristics: First, although the performance is rising year on year, but the chain is falling. This indicates that the introduction of real estate this year, after another control policy gradually began to affect these listed companies. Second, the net outflow of cash flows present the phenomenon of corporate cash that increased pressure on housing, financial chain began to strain. Third, the main decline in revenue. Therefore, whether real estate is not a fallen place, is not valuable, we continue to avoid the short blocks.

At the bottom during the current market, real estate still bearish, tape still downside. Investors are advised to be cautious and reasonable control positions.

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Tuesday, January 18th, 2011 False No Comments

Main quietly absorb the financial and steel stocks

Thursday's tape Kaiping income level, go with a bang. The form from the K line, out of a few entities Cross star. Volume, compared with yesterday, a bit smaller, showing long and short sides continue to observe and wait. View from the hot plate and the market today, the GEM stock plate and become active again, and Shanghai local plate and the plate is weaker automakers.

Movement of funds from the main view, today's main capital cities of the net outflow of 7.8 billion, which is a net outflow of 3.18 billion yuan Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen City is a net outflow of 4.62 billion yuan. One main net inflows up to the plate is the securities and futures, oil, petrochemical and banking section, while the largest net outflow of real estate, electrical equipment and electronic devices per plate.

Today, the surface is undoubtedly the most important economic data published in February: CPI rose 2.7%, PPI rose 5.4%. With the introduction of the data, the central bank will start raising interest rates, investors wait and see mood undoubtedly heat up again, and run for the stock market have greater uncertainty, most investors today, which is the reason to wait and see strategy.

Although the surface of the market index is static, in fact the bottom is Anchaoyongdong. Yesterday, our blog, "left the short side of time and space is running out," made an important point is that "28" switch has begun quietly absorbed the main force in the financial and steel stocks, the reason is well-known financing short selling and the introduction of stock index futures have been identified and the timetable, and this is the reason we call the blue chips.

Why is quietly absorbed the main force in the financial and steel stocks? We take a look at the data: the general fund in the main case of continuous net outflow, sub-section view, the major funds into the banks has been plate 4 consecutive days for 5 days into the steel plate, until the main suction foot chip market will move up a wave of This is a few days before we re-entered the bank shares because the stock pool.

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Sunday, December 26th, 2010 False No Comments

Spring in Shanghai, not to sell Coca-Cola drinks

Shanghai World Expo 2010 attracted worldwide attention will have 10 days to go at the beautiful Huangpu River opened up. I was born and bred, witnessed the childhood old alley old house and much of modern high-rise buildings were replaced by the sea change is really fertile.

Shanghai World Expo will explore the urban life of human events, is an innovation and integration as the main theme of the symphony, will be a wonderful human civilization dialogue. Shanghai Expo theme "Better City, Better Life" (BetterCity, BetterLife), the Shanghai World Expo 184 days of the exhibition, the world's governments and people around the subject to fully display the city civilization, exchange of urban development experience, communication advanced urban concept, which for the new century, living human beings, living and working to explore new models for creating a harmonious society and ecological sustainable development of human vivid example.

In this regard, as a global partner of Shanghai World Expo will be one of the Coca-Cola Company has responded with concrete action. April 16, 2010, in "Earth Day" and the Shanghai World Expo approaching, Coca-Cola in China and three Chinese companies join bottling group - Swire Beverages, Coca-Cola China Industries Limited, COFCO Coca-Cola Beverage Co., Ltd., and independent bottler Coca-Cola Co. in Zhuhai, in Shanghai, jointly issued a "positive good life," Declaration on Sustainable Development. Committed to work through the re-design and lifestyle, and the sustainable philosophy into their business operations in order to promote every aspect of the economy, environment, sustainable development and corporate social responsibility to bear the responsibility, to become sustainable development in China business model.

Spring of Shanghai, not to sell Coca-Cola drink

I was honored to be invited to join Coca-Cola Company in a "positive good life," Declaration on Sustainable Development conference, to see it covered in this Declaration, with Coca-Cola business related to seven areas including: wide range of beverage choices, active and healthy lifestyle water resources management, energy saving and cost reduction and environmental protection, sustainable packaging, corporate social responsibility and for the staff to create a safe, open seven core elements of the work environment.

These commitments have a very specific measures, such as 2020, Coca-Cola used in the production process will be 100% of the water returned to nature; to 2015, Coca-Cola products in the packaging efficiency of over 7% in 2008 to upgrade, and for 100% do not use PVC packaging materials; to 2020, carbon intensity will be reduced 40-45% compared to 2004. And put into use by the new environmentally friendly refrigerator and other mitigation measures to reduce energy consumption, so energy consumption compared to 2000 decreased 45% -60%, refrigerators and so on. In the corporate social responsibility, to 2012, Coca-Cola system in China will invest 200 million yuan and the expertise and personnel to support local education, environmental protection, health and other activities, so that more than 80 million Chinese people can benefit from. Meanwhile, Coca-Cola in China for more than 40,000 employees to provide an open, safe and healthy work environment, continuing to enhance the attractiveness of the staff and so on.

Coca-Cola system in China China has long spared no effort to support a variety of national and regional public good. Donations totaling more than 7,000 million yuan. May 2008, Coca-Cola system to stricken areas in Sichuan has reached 100 million yuan donation. Participating Executive Director of WWF projects and the China Youth Development Foundation, the Secretary-General praised the Coca-Cola in a "positive good life," Declaration on Sustainable Development. They think that Coca-Cola is an example of corporate social responsibility, hope more organizations and individuals the same as Coca-Cola, personally, concerned about the children in poor areas of education and development. An enterprise, especially multinational corporations, how to address economic development and contributing to society in the relationship between the two, how to shoulder more social responsibilities, to enable sustainable development, which is a major issue. If our companies are doing it, then life will become better. This is also the appearance of the Expo will bring us under the act for the company even more far-reaching impact.

After the meeting back, and looked out the window views of the Expo has been completed, I fell into thought. This spring in Shanghai, there are too many companies, brand through the Expo, "Dongfeng", advertise and sell products. Today, the author's mind has only light through the surface with a "positive good life", is feeling hearty, of Metal Mesh.

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Sunday, December 26th, 2010 False No Comments

Double Bottom build successful?

Note that you do not know yet? Today (Tuesday) Shanghai Stock Index 2491.65 points, its lowest point, and the lowest point in almost exactly the same as yesterday (a difference of 0.01 points), did not break previous low of 2481 points. Especially in the overnight U.S. stock market fell sharply for two days the situation, insisted on breaking early lows, really valuable.

In fact, despite overnight U.S. stocks fell sharply for two consecutive days, also did not break previous low of 9774 points. If the U.S. stock market can continue without destroying the previous low of 9774 points, then perhaps together with the A shares, both to build a double-dip Fan Shen and on.

Of course, this is a good desire bell, double bottom is to build success? This hope is not realized? Also need to continue to observe, now at best short-term signs of stabilizing. There is also a hypothesis, why the repeated two days before the pull-up low in the early? Do not rule out is to the world's largest listing of IPO-ABC. ABC will want to live tomorrow, and over will be successful is a certainty. Ensure that the Agricultural Bank of China successfully listed on the stock market may be now a top priority.

In addition to ABC market, economic data released in May is also a major event in the future to speak of. Therefore, to build a successful double bottom is not confirmed, at least two things such as past tense, can be determined.

So, is by now no matter the out? No, the broader market since stabilized, stock trading is still a great opportunity. This point, we only GEM and small plates from the index can be discerned, the two leading indicators up long before the broader market to stabilize. This is also the recent period, we stock the pond are the stocks the GEM and the reason why small plates.

Broader market to open higher tomorrow, the probability of large, because the stock market today after the close of the spot market, futures contracts across the board jerk. Continue to give up short-term index to individual stocks, preferred stocks or GEM and small plates. Operation, adhere to bargain intervention, light positions, Kuaijinkuaichu.

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Friday, December 17th, 2010 False No Comments

June is the stage of shock bottoms

If we say we are on the "broader market in April with the official launch of stock index futures for the period, the trend is a Xianyanghouyi" point of view is fairly accurate, then we on the "May is a Xianyihouyang, bottom recovery the trend of "point of view, the broader market bottomed out in time or a little late. Tape from April 16 onwards, with a swooping movement, has fallen to 21 May 2481 was proved at the bottom of the point. This is why, in addition to broader market test a low too fast, inertia Shiran, there is also fueled the role of external markets.

Anyway, May is a whole "Xianyihouyang, bottom recovery trend", in May there is a day coming to an end, we look to the broader market in June, reached the "June is a shock bottoms of the phase "point of view.

The main reason is the primary point of view is that the situation at home and abroad before the fundamentals do not change greatly, a variety of issues at any time have the possibility of the outbreak, and therefore eliminate the uncertainty and no obvious signs of prior market to mention the real bottom of the tape last week's rise is only the rebound is not reversed.

From a fundamental perspective, China, Agricultural Bank of China has not released, is now listed on the rebound only to escort the ABC. Internationally, the European bungy five countries debt crisis has not yet lifted, Greece and Spain bear the brunt of bailout funds are needed. North-South confrontation gave it added a little worried.

In June there are still many uncertainties, the fundamentals: 1, or IPO is not so intensive, the first day of listing the frequency of breaks is not growing. 2,5 months new credit is expected to drop to 600 billion, with the introduction of the New Deal real estate in mid-April, May new credit will be somewhat lower than in April was not unexpected. June will be further down? 3, the Shanghai housing tax is introduced to maintain the rumors all the time update, last Thursday the market was a popular value-added tax and strict land-clearing this bad news, is not a new deal to continue to pressure real estate? 4, higher prices boost inflation expectations, interest rate or a hanging sword over the head of the Da Mosi.

Finally, from technical analysis, from space to see, from May 21 of 2481 point rally to the last Friday of 2686 points, rebounded more than 200 points, but from April 15 of 3181 fell to 2481 points, just slid the 700 points, now less than one third of the rebound can only be characterized as a rebound, not a reversal. View from the MA system, now only 5 lines with 10 lines Jin Cha, MA systems or other arrangement short.

To sum up, if it is determined that rebound should continue to hit new lows after a rebound. Even the reverse, it also has a callback to confirm 2500 is not at the bottom of the course, to the second bottom, so clear in June is the stage of shock bottoms. Bottoms of the stage is relatively long and requires patience. The best trend is to wait until the second half of basing the success of Fan Shen up. So we still need careful operation, can jiacang collapse, gradually lighten up on the opportunities there every day without worrying about their own funds will be Ta Kong.

(Above, published in "Financial Week" 104)

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Tuesday, December 14th, 2010 False No Comments